
Resolved Yes on 3 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 39.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 61.5% on 18 Dec 2025 and the low 39.5% on 3 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 61.5% on 18 Dec 2025. $834.5K traded over the market's life.
214 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 6 Dec 2025 – 3 Jan 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 3 Jan 2026 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gloriafoster | No | 50K |
| gopfan2 | No | 47.11K |
| TheRedChip | No | 16.67K |
| cynical-reason | No | 13.38K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Venezuela's president, Nicolás Maduro, is removed from power for any length of time between December 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". President Nicolás Maduro will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Venezuela within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/maduro-out-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| TKJPN | No | 7K |
| surf | No | 5.03K |
| Apprehensive-Rowing | No | 5K |
| Silver Signal 8634 | No | 2.06K |
| jota0 | No | 1.53K |
| ollongo | No | 1.21K |