
Resolved No on 2 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 28% on 24 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 28% on 24 May 2025 and the low 0.1% on 2 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 0.9% on 26 May 2025. $179.38K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 3, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 10 points · 24 May 2025 – 2 Jun 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 May 2025 | 28.0% |
| 2 Jun 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Moersel | Yes | 1.1K |
| cristhake | Yes | 578.85 |
| dissusalume98536 | Yes | 542.22 |
| Andrei787 | Yes | 430.33 |
| Zhel | Yes | 413.36 |
| umegaoka | Yes | 210 |
| MarioIncandenza | Yes | 200 |
| jeremyvandort | Yes | 139.99 |
| ted.tower | Yes | 125 |
| HAYUUKA | Yes | 125 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On May 23, 2025, President Donald Trump announced via Truth Social a 50% tariff on all imports from the European Union (EU) set to take effect on June 1. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 50% general tariff on imports from the European Union into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between May 23, 2025, and June 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the 50% tariff, as announced by the Trump administration, must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff greater than 50% will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Only the 50% general EU tariff will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or specific goods (e.g., autos, steel, olive oil) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/50-tariff-goes-into-effect-on-eu-by-june-1
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