Latest trade
Mar 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:56 PM UTC.
Analytics
Strict-Trapdoor is down $5 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 14 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:56 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 30 trades covered 25 markets; 93.3% were buys. They run from Dec 21, 2025 UTC to Mar 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3.31 | +$0.31 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-18 12:21 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 14:56 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
30 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 14:56 UTC
polymarket positions
16 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-18 12:21 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.1 and losing ones cost $8 across 14 settled positions. 57.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.08 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3 on “Trump approval Up or Down this week?” (Up).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Mar 2026. It has traded 25 markets. Its open positions are worth $7.35 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.67 |
| $0.600 |
| $1.56 |
| +$0.56 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.450 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
| buy |
| 2.44 |
| $0.410 |
| $1 |
| Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.911 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.433 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.991 | $1.41 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
 S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.995 | $1.48 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 UTC |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 UTC |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?ETH | buy | 2.69 | $0.371 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.