Latest trade
Aug 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:49 AM UTC.
Analytics
Apprehensive-Pepper is down $12.47 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:49 AM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 47 markets; 96.0% were buys. They run from Feb 12, 2026 UTC to Aug 13, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.62 | -$0.38 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-26 17:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 08:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 08:49 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-26 17:35 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $27.7 and losing ones cost $0.07 across the latest 50 settled positions. 98% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.3 on “Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.07 on “US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 13 Aug 2026. It has traded 76 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.91 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.35 |
| $0.740 |
| $0.28 |
| -$0.72 |
| buy |
| 1.1 |
| $0.910 |
| $1 |
| Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.89 | $0.660 | $2.57 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.840 | $6 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.550 | $1.93 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.923 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.726 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between April 9-12, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.898 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.974 | $2 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 5.23 | $0.750 | $3.92 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.900 | $4 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.780 | $6 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.860 | $4 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.130 | $0.93 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.188 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
 Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.860 | $4 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.966 | $2 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.