Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?

Resolved

Yes, settled Feb 18, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$45.7K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Feb 18, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 18 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98%. Yes opened at 49% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 18 Feb 2026, the highest close was 100% on 17 Feb 2026 and the lowest 49% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 81% on 31 Dec 2025. $45.68K traded over the market's life.

20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 19, 8:25 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 18 Feb 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Dec 2025	49.0%
18 Feb 2026	98.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	14.59K
Careless-Paint	No	11.07K
LitCheesecake	No	509.7

10 of 20 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s February monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its February 17, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their February 17, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.