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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.998 | $11.98 | 18d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 15.6 |
| $0.967 |
| $15.09 |
| 18d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.962 | $16.35 | 18d ago |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.973 | $16.54 | 18d ago |
 EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.978 | $16.63 | 18d ago |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.920 | $16.56 | 18d ago |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.930 | $16.74 | 18d ago |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.952 | $17.14 | 18d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.960 | $17.28 | 18d ago |
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.982 | $17.68 | 18d ago |
 Fed abolished before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.981 | $17.66 | 18d ago |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.989 | $18.79 | 18d ago |
 China coup attempt before 2027?No | sell | 25 | $0.955 | $23.88 | 18d ago |
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | sell | 29 | $0.976 | $28.3 | 18d ago |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 33 | $0.981 | $32.37 | 18d ago |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 44 | $0.986 | $43.38 | 18d ago |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 46 | $0.976 | $44.9 | 18d ago |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.956 | $17.21 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.930 | $16.74 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.850 | $15.3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 18 | $0.994 | $17.89 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.979 | $17.62 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 11.99 | $0.984 | $11.8 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.955 | $9.01 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.950 | $16.15 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | buy | 18 | $0.978 | $17.6 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Fed abolished before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.949 | $17.08 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.800 | $14.4 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.920 | $16.56 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.946 | $16.08 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.972 | $15.55 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.870 | $14.79 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 15.6 | $0.979 | $15.27 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.912 | $15.5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.914 | $15.54 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 13 | $0.962 | $12.51 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.994 | $11.93 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 98 | $0.999 | $97.9 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 111 | $0.999 | $110.89 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 105 | $0.996 | $104.58 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 108 | $0.997 | $107.68 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 107 | $0.998 | $106.79 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 107 | $0.999 | $106.89 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 108 | $0.994 | $107.35 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.880 | $0.88 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 108 | $0.994 | $107.36 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 95 | $0.990 | $94.05 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 110 | $0.991 | $109.01 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?No | sell | 111 | $0.994 | $110.33 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?No | buy | 111 | $0.995 | $110.45 | Dec 6, 2025 |