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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 16.12 | $0.430 | $14.67 | +$7.74 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.340 | $1.02 | 29d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10.83 |
| $0.649 |
| $10.13 |
| +$3.1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 16.51 | $0.420 | $8.67 | +$1.73 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 8.36 | $0.830 | $8.04 | +$1.1 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 8.46 | $0.820 | $7.95 | +$1.02 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 9.42 | $0.736 | $7.52 | +$0.59 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 11.26 | $0.616 | $6.13 | -$0.81 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.08 | $0.800 | $5.68 | +$0.82 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 11.18 | $0.620 | $5.53 | -$1.4 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9.25 | $0.480 | $5.13 | +$0.69 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 11 | $0.410 | $3.8 | -$0.71 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 6.89 | $0.530 | $3 | -$0.65 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.25 | $0.440 | $1.61 | +$0.18 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 8.08 | $0.858 | $1.35 | -$5.58 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2.62 | $0.550 | $1.14 | -$0.3 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 11.37 | $0.616 | $1.02 | -$5.98 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 6.08 | $0.240 | $0.64 | -$0.82 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6.09 | $0.230 | $0.23 | -$1.17 |
| buy |
| 3.06 |
| $0.500 |
| $1.53 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.499 | $1.52 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.670 | $1.87 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.761 | $4.62 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.230 | $1.4 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.790 | $4.74 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 15?Up | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.370 | $2.59 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.86 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.650 | $4.95 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.610 | $4.96 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.44 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.440 | $1.43 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.240 | $1.46 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.380 | $4.18 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No | buy | 9.33 | $0.750 | $7 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 9.25 | $0.240 | $2.22 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $157.50 Week of June 15 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.270 | $2.43 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.26 | $0.500 | $6.63 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 9.12 | $0.760 | $6.93 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.62 | $0.550 | $1.44 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.16 | $0.430 | $4.37 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.410 | $4.51 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.740 | $6.06 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 11.18 | $0.620 | $6.93 | May 31, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 11.18 | $0.600 | $6.71 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 6.89 | $0.530 | $3.65 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 16.51 | $0.420 | $6.93 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 20.39 | $0.340 | $6.93 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 11.56 | $0.600 | $6.94 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 9.42 | $0.736 | $6.93 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 9.27 | $0.747 | $6.92 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 14.5 | $0.478 | $6.93 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 11.26 | $0.616 | $6.94 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 13.59 | $0.510 | $6.93 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 8.83 | $0.785 | $6.93 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 31.51 | $0.219 | $6.9 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 16.12 | $0.430 | $6.93 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 8.08 | $0.858 | $6.93 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | sell | 11.29 | $0.579 | $6.54 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.29 | $0.614 | $6.93 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | sell | 12.63 | $0.520 | $6.57 | Mar 6, 2026 |