Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 13, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$127.6K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 13, 2026 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 13 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 10 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2026 to 13 Jul 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 24% on 13 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 24% on 13 Jul 2026. $127.63K traded over the market's life.

100 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 14, 5:05 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 10 Jul 2026 – 13 Jul 2026, chart shows 10%–60%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 Jul 2026	40.5%
13 Jul 2026	24.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	32.32K
Keen Atlas 7F72	Yes	5K
smalltimezzz	Yes	3.47K
abinfafafa	Yes	3.01K

10 of 100 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 11 12:00 PM ET to July 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.