
Resolved No on 23 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 36.5%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 14 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2026 to 23 Jun 2026, the highest close was 63.5% on 23 Jun 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 14 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 42.5% on 21 Jun 2026. $478.67K traded over the market's life.
365 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 24, 5:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 14 Jun 2026 – 23 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | 17.5% |
| 23 Jun 2026 | 63.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 226.84K |
| ChunkyMonky | Yes | 46.05K |
| Elonurmom | Yes | 7.77K |
| Hiohigs | Yes | 7.15K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 16 12:00 PM ET to June 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-june-16-june-23
| standupman | Yes | 5.05K |
| Mr-Ferrari | Yes | 5K |
| RickRockRick | Yes | 4.15K |
| tiwu99-2 | Yes | 4.14K |
| Henryxlsurf | Yes | 4.14K |
| credence0918 | Yes | 4.14K |
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