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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 45.14 | $0.389 | $39.5 | +$21.94 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 70 |
| $0.367 |
| $38.5 |
| +$12.8 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 38.31 | $0.736 | $37.49 | +$9.28 |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 33.38 | $0.634 | $26.7 | +$5.54 |
 Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 25 | $0.707 | $24.68 | +$6.99 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 25 | $0.270 | $23 | +$16.25 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | No | 30.62 | $0.490 | $20.67 | +$5.66 |
 Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $19.97 | +$4.97 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 34.07 | $0.405 | $19.85 | +$6.05 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 20 | $0.837 | $19.65 | +$2.91 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.875 | $19.39 | +$1.9 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.880 | $19.37 | +$1.77 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 26.59 | $0.678 | $19.28 | +$1.24 |
 Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.730 | $19.21 | +$4.61 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 22.03 | $0.564 | $18.78 | +$6.35 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 39.86 | $0.739 | $18.54 | -$10.91 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.755 | $18.1 | +$3 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 19.8 | $0.472 | $17.33 | +$7.97 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.780 | $17.2 | +$1.6 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.780 | $16.9 | +$1.3 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 20.19 | $0.617 | $16.79 | +$4.33 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $16.58 | +$1.58 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.790 | $16.5 | +$0.7 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 16.96 | $0.555 | $15.86 | +$6.45 |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.515 | $15.7 | +$5.4 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.280 |
| $1.4 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.280 | $3.64 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.572 | $11.44 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.99 | $0.390 | $2.34 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.682 | $13.64 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 20 | $0.335 | $6.7 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.290 | $1.76 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 5 | $0.348 | $1.74 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.380 | $19 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 9.29 | $0.570 | $5.3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.773 | $5.15 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.570 | $0.73 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No | sell | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?No | sell | 17 | $0.380 | $6.46 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?No | sell | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.400 | $2.02 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?No | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | sell | 2.33 | $0.510 | $1.19 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.310 | $0.78 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.298 | $2.48 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No | sell | 13.93 | $0.290 | $4.04 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?No | sell | 49.69 | $0.257 | $12.77 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.73 | $0.774 | $2.89 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.423 | $2.11 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.564 | $2.82 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.772 | $6.18 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.256 | $1.28 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | sell | 5 | $0.725 | $3.63 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.757 | $37.85 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | sell | 5 | $0.727 | $3.64 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.654 | $5.23 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Jun 11, 2026 |