Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 1.7 points from 1.8% when the market opened on 10 Dec 2025.
Across the 290 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (34 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 17.2% on 25 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 1%. Its largest one-day move was 8.4 points up, to 12.3% on 15 Jun 2026.
Lewis Hamilton ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “F1 Drivers' Champion”. Kimi Antonelli leads at 99.7%; George Russell is at 0.1%.
$3 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.64M since listing. The order book holds $140.77K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $117.81 bought Yes and $27.42K bought No; the largest was a $4K buy of No at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Quarterly-Outset with 235.6K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 997.3K. Ten wallets hold 72.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 6 Dec 2026, 39 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 5:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 290 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 1.8% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 997.34K |
| Quarterly-Outset | Yes | 235.64K |
| BabyGroot | Yes | 38.88K |
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion
| 19591ZHZ | Yes | 38.03K |
| saintaphextwin | Yes | 34.89K |
| AJM96 | Yes | 30.36K |
| leegunner | Yes | 29.83K |
| zhqzhq | Yes | 28.51K |
| Emerald Scout 9880 | Yes | 16.35K |
| GeraldoND | Yes | 15.65K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
