Latest trade
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:23 AM UTC.
Analytics
Ivory Beacon 413D is down $916.11 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:23 AM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 34 markets; 88.0% were buys. They run from Sep 27, 2026 UTC to Oct 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.11K | $0.016 | $151.32 | -$39.65 |
 James Norton announced as next James Bond? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | 1h ago |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 09:52 UTC
Polymarket public position response
16 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 10:23 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 10:23 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-19 19:09 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.3K and losing ones cost $853.38 across the latest 50 settled positions. 66% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $200.8 on “US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $268.42 on “Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?” (Yes).
It first traded on 5 Jan 2026 and most recently on 26 Oct 2026. It has traded 614 markets. Its open positions are worth $250.12 across 16 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 788.77 |
| $0.006 |
| $33.52 |
| +$28.52 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 681.18 | $0.040 | $13.28 | -$13.72 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | 1.17K | $0.013 | $9.97 | -$5.03 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 37.5 | $0.160 | $6.94 | +$0.94 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 502.28 | $0.017 | $6.28 | -$2.22 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.300 | $5.83 | -$4.17 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $5.75 | -$4.25 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26? | No | 24.14 | $0.290 | $4.22 | -$2.78 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 41.7 | $0.171 | $3.96 | -$3.15 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.070 | $3.68 | -$1.32 |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 335.23 | $0.015 | $2.85 | -$2.15 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 26? | No | 166.67 | $0.012 | $0.92 | -$1.08 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.044 | $0.82 | -$0.18 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 26? | No | 500 | $0.002 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.2 | $0.016 | $0.02 | -$0.2 |
| sell |
| 88.63 |
| $0.012 |
| $1.06 |
| 1h ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 26?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.08 | $0.090 | $1 | 2h ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 26?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.012 | $2 | 2h ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?No | buy | 24.14 | $0.290 | $7 | 2h ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.022 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?No | buy | 45.57 | $0.219 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 25?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.039 | $3 | 1d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 25?No | buy | 818.21 | $0.004 | $3 | 1d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 25?No | buy | 111.9 | $0.018 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 24?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.013 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on October 24?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 24?No | buy | 1.76K | $0.001 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 24?No | buy | 435.3 | $0.005 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 24?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 24?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.003 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 24?Yes | buy | 255 | $0.008 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 23?Yes | buy | 164.1 | $0.061 | $10 | 2d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 1.17K | $0.013 | $15 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Japan" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | 12d ago |
 BNB Up or Down - October 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | sell | 7.89 | $0.430 | $3.39 | 12d ago |
| BNB Up or Down - October 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | 12d ago |
| BNB Up or Down - October 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 12d ago |
| BNB Up or Down - October 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | buy | 14.76 | $0.203 | $3 | 13d ago |
| BNB Up or Down - October 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | 13d ago |
| BNB Up or Down - October 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | 13d ago |
| BNB Up or Down - October 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | 13d ago |
 Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.4K | $0.015 | $51 | 16d ago |
 Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?Yes | sell | 113.71 | $0.002 | $0.23 | 16d ago |
| Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | 19d ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | 27d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | sell | 9.09 | $0.020 | $0.18 | 28d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | sell | 21.11 | $0.140 | $2.96 | 28d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?Yes | buy | 100.8 | $0.010 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | 28d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 27?Yes | buy | 83.61 | $0.036 | $3 | 29d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.