Analytics
Yes is at 96.6%, up 18 points from 79% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 96.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 79% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 93% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ethereum above ___ on October 24?”.
$10.58K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $18.61K since listing. The order book holds $34.17K, with a 2.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 127 trades, $6.84K bought Yes and $1.76K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 7.2K shares; the largest No position is neutralwave23 with 5.9K. Ten wallets hold 97.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 3:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 79.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 96.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 7.16K |
| neutralwave23 | No | 5.91K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 1.15K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-24-2026
| Pellepele | Yes | 1.15K |
| coinfilippe | No | 528.88 |
| gt197 | No | 431.31 |
| Used-Leopard | No | 181.14 |
| akarnet | No | 159.19 |
| 196874353278 | Yes | 129.13 |
| Lovely-Definition | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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