Analytics
Yes is at 6.5%, down 20 points from 26% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the highest close was 30% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 20 Oct 2026. The current quote, 6.5%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 30% on 21 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 30% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ethereum above ___ on October 24?”.
$12.62K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $16.61K since listing. The order book holds $30.58K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 55 trades, $273.46 bought Yes and $5.33K bought No; the largest was a $3.23K buy of No at 90.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 2.7K shares; the largest No position is easyclap with 3.8K. Ten wallets hold 97.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 26.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 30.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| easyclap | No | 3.75K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 2.7K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Yes | 380.26 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-24-2026
| gobblewobble | Yes | 350.08 |
| gt197 | Yes | 157.45 |
| Zetherka | Yes | 129.81 |
| mashleung | Yes | 30 |
| kellygarcia | No | 28.66 |
| bountyhunter001 | Yes | 25 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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