Analytics
Ivory Beacon 413D is down $915.22 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.11K | $0.016 | $151.32 | -$39.65 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 01:39 UTC
Polymarket public position response
12 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 04:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 04:04 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-19 19:09 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.3K and losing ones cost $853.38 across the latest 50 settled positions. 66% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $200.8 on “US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $268.42 on “Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?” (Yes).
It has traded 611 markets. Its open positions are worth $221.9 across 12 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 681.18 |
| $0.040 |
| $12.6 |
| -$14.4 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | 1.17K | $0.013 | $11.15 | -$3.85 |
 James Norton announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 788.77 | $0.006 | $9.86 | +$4.86 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 590.91 | $0.017 | $7.39 | -$2.61 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 37.5 | $0.160 | $6.94 | +$0.94 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $5.75 | -$4.25 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.300 | $5.33 | -$4.67 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 52.78 | $0.171 | $5.01 | -$3.99 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.070 | $3.68 | -$1.32 |
 Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 335.23 | $0.015 | $2.85 | -$2.15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.2 | $0.016 | $0.02 | -$0.2 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
