Latest trade
Feb 28, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 10:33 AM UTC.
notap is down $1.49K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 15 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 28, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 10:33 AM UTC.
$448.04 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 26 markets; 68.0% were buys. They run from Jan 19, 2026 UTC to Feb 28, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.46K | $0.653 | $1.36K | +$411.2 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 10.61K | $0.094 | $999 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 23:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 10:33 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 10:33 UTC
polymarket positions
16 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 23:19 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $641 and losing ones cost $356.14 across 15 settled positions. 46.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $187.06 on “Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?” (No); the largest loss, $127.79 on “Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 28 Feb 2026. It has traded 33 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.05K across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.5K |
| $0.634 |
| $826.34 |
| -$125.66 |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 728.18 | $0.784 | $689.95 | +$118.95 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 694.23 | $0.520 | $170.09 | -$190.91 |
| buy |
| 1.72K |
| $0.089 |
| $153 |
| Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 3.5K | $0.074 | $260.91 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 175.5 | $0.074 | $13.05 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 958.13 | $0.870 | $833.57 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 670.87 | $0.870 | $583.66 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 50.1 | $0.660 | $33.07 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.650 | $16.25 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?No | sell | 600.9 | $0.631 | $379.32 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 106.27 | $0.850 | $90.33 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.87K | $0.801 | $1.5K | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 2.56K | $0.780 | $2K | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 1.87K | $0.506 | $946.18 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 526.7 | $0.627 | $330.01 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 507.98 | $0.777 | $394.64 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | sell | 956.9 | $0.594 | $568.06 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | sell | 793.62 | $0.621 | $492.62 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?Yes | sell | 437.52 | $0.999 | $437.08 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?Yes | buy | 437.53 | $0.825 | $361 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?No | buy | 600.91 | $0.601 | $361 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.097 | $100 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
Will the Doomsday Clock move by ten seconds or more?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.341 | $361 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 507.98 | $0.711 | $361 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.920 | $1.06K | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 410.22 | $0.830 | $340.64 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 449.2 | $0.519 | $233.21 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 520.66 | $0.633 | $329.81 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 410.23 | $0.880 | $361 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 449.2 | $0.804 | $361 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 520.67 | $0.693 | $361 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | buy | 1.33K | $0.718 | $952 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 1.87K | $0.508 | $950 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.86K | $0.499 | $930.51 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.634 | $952 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.86K | $0.511 | $952 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.653 | $952 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 660.84 | $0.563 | $372.35 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 793.63 | $0.578 | $459 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.438 | $459.11 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 694.23 | $0.520 | $361 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.856 | $952 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?No | buy | 799.48 | $0.714 | $571 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.545 | $571 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.826 | $952 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 761.33 | $0.750 | $571 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
US strike on Colombia by March 31?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.873 | $952 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?No | buy | 621.14 | $0.581 | $361 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 761.83 | $0.750 | $571 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 526.71 | $0.685 | $361 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 728.18 | $0.784 | $571 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.