Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78%. Yes opened at 22% on 18 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 18 Dec 2025 to 27 Jan 2026, the highest close was 41% on 17 Jan 2026 and the lowest 11% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 41% on 17 Jan 2026. $18.07K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 28, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 18 Dec 2025 – 27 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 | 22.0% |
| 27 Jan 2026 | 22.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeGamma | Yes | 1.5K |
| notap | Yes | 1.06K |
| bbroderick | Yes | 247.42 |
| Longicaudatus | Yes | 148.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic clock face that represents the likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, maintained since 1947 by the members of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The closer the clock is set to midnight, the closer the scientists believe the world is to global disaster. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Doomsday Clock is moved by ten seconds or more in either direction (i.e. closer than 80 seconds to midnight, or farther than 98 seconds to midnight, see https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/#nav_menu) during the yearly meeting of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists scheduled for January 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Doomsday Clock setting is delayed this market's resolution may be delayed until the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' 2025 release is published. If no release is published by June 30, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information released by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-doomsday-clock-move-by-ten-seconds-or-more
| Whirlwind-Gravitas | Yes | 106.67 |
| W3ak | Yes | 31.25 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| rocket661 | Yes | 15 |
| Ayahuasca | Yes | 6.67 |
| Shady-Media | Yes | 5.26 |
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