Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.46K | $0.653 | $1.36K | +$411.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 10.61K | $0.094 | $999 | Feb 28, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 728.18 |
| $0.784 |
| $698.69 |
| +$127.69 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.634 | $698.63 | -$253.37 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 694.23 | $0.520 | $225.62 | -$135.37 |
| buy |
| 1.72K |
| $0.089 |
| $153 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 3.5K | $0.074 | $260.91 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 175.5 | $0.074 | $13.05 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.650 | $16.25 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?No | sell | 600.9 | $0.631 | $379.32 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 106.27 | $0.850 | $90.33 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.87K | $0.801 | $1.5K | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 2.56K | $0.780 | $2K | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 1.87K | $0.506 | $946.18 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 526.7 | $0.627 | $330.01 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 507.98 | $0.777 | $394.64 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | sell | 956.9 | $0.594 | $568.06 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | sell | 793.62 | $0.621 | $492.62 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?Yes | sell | 437.52 | $0.999 | $437.08 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?Yes | buy | 437.53 | $0.825 | $361 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?No | buy | 600.91 | $0.601 | $361 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.097 | $100 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the Doomsday Clock move by ten seconds or more?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.341 | $361 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 507.98 | $0.711 | $361 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.920 | $1.06K | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 410.22 | $0.830 | $340.64 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 449.2 | $0.519 | $233.21 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 520.66 | $0.633 | $329.81 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 410.23 | $0.880 | $361 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 449.2 | $0.804 | $361 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 520.67 | $0.693 | $361 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | buy | 1.33K | $0.718 | $952 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 1.87K | $0.508 | $950 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.86K | $0.499 | $930.51 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.634 | $952 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.86K | $0.511 | $952 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.653 | $952 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 660.84 | $0.563 | $372.35 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 793.63 | $0.578 | $459 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.438 | $459.11 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 694.23 | $0.520 | $361 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.856 | $952 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?No | buy | 799.48 | $0.714 | $571 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.545 | $571 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.826 | $952 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 761.33 | $0.750 | $571 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by March 31?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.873 | $952 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?No | buy | 621.14 | $0.581 | $361 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 761.83 | $0.750 | $571 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 526.71 | $0.685 | $361 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No | buy | 728.18 | $0.784 | $571 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 719.38 | $0.794 | $571 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 819.46 | $0.697 | $571 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | buy | 956.91 | $0.398 | $381 | Jan 19, 2026 |