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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.05 | $0.261 | $4.45 | Jan 6, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 17.3 |
| $0.256 |
| $4.43 |
| Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.3 | $0.258 | $4.46 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.36 | $0.252 | $4.38 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionNo | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Dogecoin above $0.15 on January 6?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.8 | $0.102 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will the Doomsday Clock move by ten seconds or more?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.65 | $0.136 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.36 | $0.288 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |