Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:13 PM UTC.
Analytics
longbill2 is down $32.76 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:13 PM UTC.
$1.42 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 23 markets; 54.0% were buys. They run from Oct 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 4.84 | $0.320 | $2.15 | +$0.61 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | 1m ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 04:46 UTC
Polymarket public position response
18 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 12:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 12:13 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 04:46 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $128.53 and losing ones cost $30.84 across the latest 50 settled positions. 82% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.02 on “Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees” (Yes); the largest loss, $4.23 on “Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 957 markets. Its open positions are worth $11.04 across 18 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.56 |
| $0.414 |
| $1.98 |
| +$0.92 |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 10 | $0.110 | $1.2 | +$0.1 |
 Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? | Yes | 2.25 | $0.530 | $1.19 | $0 |
 Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.79 | $0.078 | $0.67 | -$0.49 |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4.99 | $0.090 | $0.57 | +$0.12 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | Yes | 4 | $0.140 | $0.55 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.140 | $0.54 | +$0.07 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.71 | $0.470 | $0.49 | -$0.32 |
 Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M? | Yes | 10 | $0.120 | $0.45 | -$0.75 |
 Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 10 | $0.092 | $0.32 | -$0.61 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 1 | $0.459 | $0.23 | -$0.23 |
 Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.32 | $0.100 | $0.22 | -$0.12 |
 Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.5 | $0.320 | $0.14 | -$0.03 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | Yes | 3.17 | $0.054 | $0.13 | -$0.04 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.9 | $0.160 | $0.1 | -$0.36 |
 Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.46 | $0.230 | $0.07 | -$0.03 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.051 | $0.05 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 9.99 |
| $0.260 |
| $2.6 |
| 47m ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Yes | buy | 8.71 | $0.210 | $1.83 | 48m ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.221 | $0.28 | 1h ago |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | 3h ago |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | 6h ago |
 Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.900 | $5.91 | 7h ago |
| Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.57 | $0.760 | $4.99 | 8h ago |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.140 | $0.47 | 8h ago |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | 8h ago |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | 9h ago |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | 9h ago |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.5 | $0.270 | $2.57 | 9h ago |
 Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.260 | $2.08 | 10h ago |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.340 | $2.72 | 11h ago |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | sell | 6.53 | $0.220 | $1.44 | 13h ago |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | 13h ago |
 Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?Yes | sell | 7.3 | $0.160 | $1.17 | 14h ago |
| Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.160 | $0.43 | 14h ago |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.171 | $1.09 | 14h ago |
| Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 15h ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | 15h ago |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.080 | $0.4 | 15h ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 15h ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.126 | $1.26 | 16h ago |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 0.14 | $0.180 | $0.03 | 16h ago |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.180 | $1.8 | 16h ago |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.99 | $0.080 | $0.64 | 16h ago |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | 16h ago |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | 16h ago |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.197 | $1.97 | 17h ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.055 | $0 | 19h ago |
| Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | 1d ago |
| Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?Yes | buy | 9.72 | $0.100 | $0.97 | 1d ago |
| Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?Yes | buy | 0.28 | $0.110 | $0.03 | 1d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.42 | $0.970 | $5.26 | 1d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.42 | $0.922 | $5 | 1d ago |
 Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | 1d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.320 | $1.55 | 1d ago |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?Yes | sell | 6.99 | $0.390 | $2.73 | 1d ago |
 Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 1d ago |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?Yes | buy | 6.99 | $0.330 | $2.31 | 1d ago |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 1d ago |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.092 | $0.92 | 1d ago |
 Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.050 | $0.45 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.051 | $0.51 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.73 | $0.350 | $2.01 | 1d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.