Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:28 PM UTC.
Analytics
longbill2 is down $30.29 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:28 PM UTC.
$1.28 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 19 markets; 52.0% were buys. They run from Oct 24, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 4.84 | $0.320 | $2.03 | +$0.48 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | 49m ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 04:46 UTC
Polymarket public position response
20 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 22:28 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 22:28 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 04:46 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $128.53 and losing ones cost $30.84 across the latest 50 settled positions. 82% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.02 on “Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees” (Yes); the largest loss, $4.23 on “Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 964 markets. Its open positions are worth $12.76 across 20 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.56 |
| $0.414 |
| $1.94 |
| +$0.88 |
 Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.290 | $1.86 | +$0.12 |
 Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.157 | $1.28 | -$0.3 |
 Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? | Yes | 2.25 | $0.530 | $1.15 | -$0.05 |
 Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.79 | $0.078 | $0.67 | -$0.49 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.094 | $0.58 | -$0.37 |
 Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4.99 | $0.090 | $0.57 | +$0.12 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.140 | $0.53 | +$0.07 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.71 | $0.470 | $0.48 | -$0.32 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | Yes | 4 | $0.140 | $0.47 | -$0.09 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 1 | $0.459 | $0.31 | -$0.15 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2.34 | $0.110 | $0.29 | +$0.04 |
 Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.32 | $0.100 | $0.23 | -$0.1 |
 Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.5 | $0.320 | $0.13 | -$0.03 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.9 | $0.160 | $0.1 | -$0.36 |
 Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.46 | $0.230 | $0.07 | -$0.03 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.051 | $0.03 | -$0.02 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | Yes | 3.17 | $0.054 | $0.03 | -$0.14 |
 Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M? | Yes | 9.32 | $0.120 | $0 | -$1.11 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.067 |
| $0.67 |
| 49m ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | 1h ago |
 Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 6.53 | $0.930 | $6.07 | 1h ago |
| Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.760 | $4.66 | 1h ago |
| Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | 1h ago |
| Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.820 | $4.99 | 1h ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.083 | $0.83 | 2h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | 2h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | 2h ago |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.094 | $0.94 | 4h ago |
 Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.020 | $0.2 | 4h ago |
| Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.157 | $1.57 | 4h ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.09 | $0.100 | $0.71 | 6h ago |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.710 | $5.81 | 6h ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.610 | $5 | 6h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | 6h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.75 | $0.100 | $0.78 | 7h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.090 | $0.63 | 7h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.85 | $0.090 | $0.26 | 7h ago |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 7.66 | $0.080 | $0.61 | 8h ago |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M?Yes | sell | 0.68 | $0.020 | $0.01 | 9h ago |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | 10h ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.260 | $2.6 | 11h ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Yes | buy | 8.71 | $0.210 | $1.83 | 11h ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.221 | $0.28 | 11h ago |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | 14h ago |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | 17h ago |
 Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.900 | $5.91 | 18h ago |
| Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.57 | $0.760 | $4.99 | 18h ago |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.140 | $0.47 | 18h ago |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | 19h ago |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | 19h ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | 19h ago |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.5 | $0.270 | $2.57 | 19h ago |
 Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.260 | $2.08 | 20h ago |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.340 | $2.72 | 21h ago |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | sell | 6.53 | $0.220 | $1.44 | 23h ago |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | 1d ago |
 Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?Yes | sell | 7.3 | $0.160 | $1.17 | 1d ago |
| Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.160 | $0.43 | 1d ago |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.171 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 1d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | 1d ago |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.080 | $0.4 | 1d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 1d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.126 | $1.26 | 1d ago |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 0.14 | $0.180 | $0.03 | 1d ago |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.180 | $1.8 | 1d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.