Analytics
longbill2 is down $32.19 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 4.84 | $0.320 | $2.01 | +$0.46 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 04:46 UTC
Polymarket public position response
18 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 18:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 18:01 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 04:46 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $128.53 and losing ones cost $30.84 across the latest 50 settled positions. 82% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.02 on “Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees” (Yes); the largest loss, $4.23 on “Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?” (Yes).
It has traded 959 markets. Its open positions are worth $10.73 across 18 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.56 |
| $0.414 |
| $1.95 |
| +$0.89 |
 Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.157 | $1.72 | +$0.15 |
 Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? | Yes | 2.25 | $0.530 | $1.16 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.79 | $0.078 | $0.67 | -$0.49 |
 Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4.99 | $0.090 | $0.59 | +$0.14 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.140 | $0.52 | +$0.05 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.71 | $0.470 | $0.49 | -$0.31 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | Yes | 4 | $0.140 | $0.47 | -$0.09 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 1 | $0.459 | $0.31 | -$0.15 |
 Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.32 | $0.100 | $0.2 | -$0.13 |
 Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.5 | $0.320 | $0.16 | -$0.01 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2.34 | $0.110 | $0.15 | -$0.11 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | Yes | 3.17 | $0.054 | $0.13 | -$0.04 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.9 | $0.160 | $0.1 | -$0.36 |
 Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.46 | $0.230 | $0.07 | -$0.03 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.051 | $0.04 | -$0.01 |
 Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M? | Yes | 9.32 | $0.120 | $0 | -$1.11 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
