Analytics
Yes is at 24.5%, down 1.5 points from 26% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 26% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
<22m ranks second of the 7 outcomes in “"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office”. 22m-25m leads at 58%; 25m-28m is at 16.4%.
$6.92K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $15.22K since listing. The order book holds $3.62K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 230 trades, $3.58K bought Yes and $2.76K bought No.
The largest Yes position is New.Jeans with 3.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.2K. Ten wallets hold 80.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 9:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 18%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 26.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.21K |
| New.Jeans | Yes | 3.12K |
| 0120346 | No | 1.92K |
This market will resolve according to how much "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 23 - 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/clayface-opening-weekend-box-office
| Ox79879657hjgdsghgdj98090klfdkld |
| Yes |
| 1.32K |
| Nostdam | No | 1.08K |
| DimitriSlazov | Yes | 709.99 |
| GvLBV | Yes | 434.21 |
| Trestik | No | 410.96 |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | No | 377.34 |
| MMAVice | Yes | 300 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
