Analytics
Yes is at 50%, up 23 points from 27% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 16% on 21 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 50% on 23 Oct 2026.
22m-25m is the favourite of the 7 outcomes in “"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office”, ahead of <22m at 34%.
$2.37K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.69K since listing. The order book holds $1.06K, with a 12.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 150 trades, $736.16 bought Yes and $2.21K bought No.
The largest Yes position is PiMaak with 1,000 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3K. Ten wallets hold 93.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 7:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 27.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3K |
| PiMaak | Yes | 999.97 |
| Crabsoup92 | Yes | 518.48 |
This market will resolve according to how much "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 23 - 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/clayface-opening-weekend-box-office
| LeHaine |
| Yes |
| 503.74 |
| GvLBV | Yes | 381.5 |
| Nostdam | Yes | 327.99 |
| Fickle-Employment | Yes | 232.85 |
| 0120346 | No | 228 |
| Hasty-Worker | Yes | 141.15 |
| AJSV | No | 114.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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