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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 1.11K | $0.374 | $391.69 | -$24.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 249.98 | $0.670 | $167.49 | 19h ago |
 |
| No |
| 298.53 |
| $0.720 |
| $240.32 |
| +$25.52 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 811.76 | $0.047 | $187.52 | +$148.96 |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 249.98 | $0.670 | $182.49 | +$15 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 246.98 | $0.620 | $156.83 | +$3.7 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 269.23 | $0.553 | $129.23 | -$19.68 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 145.2 | $0.640 | $101.64 | +$8.71 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 465.58 | $0.147 | $88.46 | +$20.11 |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 140 | $0.450 | $77 | +$14 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 885.9 | $0.130 | $74.86 | -$40.44 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 64.8 | $0.648 | $58.97 | +$16.99 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 67.31 | $0.177 | $52.47 | +$40.56 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 214.57 | $0.123 | $37.01 | +$10.6 |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 358.95 | $0.136 | $32.31 | -$16.62 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 131.44 | $0.062 | $23.66 | +$15.49 |
| Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 140.98 | $0.161 | $19.24 | -$3.51 |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 79 | $0.072 | $17.62 | +$11.93 |
 Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.67 | $0.441 | $11.22 | +$2.55 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 150.45 | $0.115 | $11.06 | -$6.3 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 683.44 | $0.026 | $8.88 | -$8.73 |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 110.24 | $0.108 | $5.07 | -$6.87 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 53 | $0.286 | $2.52 | -$12.67 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | No | 49.99 | $0.170 | $1.52 | -$6.97 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? | Yes | 73.66 | $0.190 | $1.4 | -$12.6 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.48 | $0.103 | $0.49 | +$0.34 |
| buy |
| 145.2 |
| $0.640 |
| $92.93 |
| 19h ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 147.56 | $0.200 | $29.51 | 23h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | buy | 83.23 | $0.560 | $46.61 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 130 | $0.680 | $88.4 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 168.53 | $0.750 | $126.4 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 307 | $0.260 | $79.82 | 2d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 91.09 | $0.950 | $86.54 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 182.99 | $0.696 | $127.38 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 161.7 | $0.184 | $29.83 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 55.29 | $0.171 | $9.48 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 683.44 | $0.026 | $17.62 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 587.09 | $0.177 | $103.88 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 43.75 | $0.132 | $5.76 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 308.48 | $0.103 | $31.86 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 85.69 | $0.155 | $13.28 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.072 | $5.69 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 298.95 | $0.144 | $42.92 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 27.1 | $0.138 | $3.74 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 150.45 | $0.115 | $17.36 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 613.14 | $0.147 | $90.01 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 762.48 | $0.170 | $129.36 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 170.82 | $0.121 | $20.65 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | buy | 186 | $0.550 | $102.3 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 57.02 | $0.066 | $3.76 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 205.83 | $0.061 | $12.58 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | buy | 49.99 | $0.170 | $8.5 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 88.88 | $0.082 | $7.25 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 110.24 | $0.108 | $11.94 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.100 | $6 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 849.32 | $0.095 | $80.42 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 784.66 | $0.044 | $34.81 | 6d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 21.11 | $0.520 | $10.98 | 6d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 293.8 | $0.498 | $146.22 | 6d ago |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.450 | $18 | 6d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Yes | sell | 298.36 | $0.849 | $253.31 | 6d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.500 | $65 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 323.81 | $0.620 | $200.76 | 7d ago |
 Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?Yes | buy | 266.05 | $0.245 | $65.1 | 9d ago |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 26m?Yes | sell | 390.43 | $0.012 | $4.69 | 10d ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?Yes | buy | 437.15 | $0.298 | $130.09 | 10d ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.270 | $12.15 | 10d ago |
 Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | 11d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 11d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 114.01 | $0.100 | $11.4 | 11d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?No | buy | 58.8 | $0.130 | $7.62 | 11d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 80.2 | $0.109 | $8.72 | 11d ago |
| Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?No | sell | 444.83 | $0.400 | $178.05 | 11d ago |
| Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.014 | $0.18 | 12d ago |
| Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?No | buy | 215.95 | $0.482 | $104.17 | 12d ago |