Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | No | 10.85 | $0.922 | $10.21 | +$0.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No | buy | 11.09 | $0.992 | $11 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.16 |
| $0.984 |
| $10.14 |
| +$0.14 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 9.38 | $0.960 | $9.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | No | 10.77 | $0.650 | $6.08 | -$0.92 |
| buy |
| 18.27 |
| $0.985 |
| $18 |
| Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.83 | $0.940 | $13 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 25.38 | $0.985 | $25 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 65.78 | $0.990 | $65.12 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?No | buy | 3 | $0.944 | $2.83 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.986 | $4 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.991 | $4 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?No | sell | 13.03 | $0.953 | $12.42 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 10.77 | $0.650 | $7 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 10.85 | $0.922 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.997 | $13 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 65.79 | $0.988 | $65 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 17.17 | $0.932 | $16 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.880 | $11 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 17?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.996 | $1.6 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 10.62 | $0.942 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.990 | $9 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Real Oviedo | buy | 4.82 | $0.830 | $4 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?No | buy | 11.41 | $0.964 | $11 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 13.9 | $0.935 | $13 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?No | buy | 48.6 | $0.979 | $47.58 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 60.12 | $0.998 | $60 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Byrna Technologies (BYRN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 50.25 | $0.995 | $50 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.989 | $52.42 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?No | buy | 54.11 | $0.985 | $53.3 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on September 26?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.969 | $51 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by August 31?No | buy | 8.12 | $0.985 | $8 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.970 | $4 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Automotive" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?Yes | buy | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will MOUZ win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No | buy | 7.78 | $0.900 | $7 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.960 | $9 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Udachne before August?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.920 | $7 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?No | buy | 7.23 | $0.830 | $6 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?No | sell | 42.59 | $0.740 | $31.52 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.720 | $18.72 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?Yes | buy | 32.04 | $0.718 | $23 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?No | buy | 15.58 | $0.770 | $12 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?No | buy | 31.04 | $0.709 | $22 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Liam McNeeley be drafted in the top 10 of the 2025 NBA Draft?No | sell | 54.08 | $0.975 | $52.73 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Liam McNeeley be drafted in the top 10 of the 2025 NBA Draft?No | buy | 54.08 | $0.980 | $53 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 25?No | sell | 54 | $0.950 | $51.3 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?No | sell | 54.02 | $0.950 | $51.34 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?No | sell | 55 | $0.954 | $52.48 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?No | buy | 54.92 | $0.965 | $53 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 17-18m?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.998 | $1.26K | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 21.89K | $0.997 | $21.83K | Apr 10, 2025 |