Latest trade
Jan 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 3:27 PM UTC.
Analytics
ML123 is down $142.5 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 25 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 3:27 PM UTC.
$20.98 median trade
Its latest 30 trades covered 28 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jul 22, 2024 UTC to Jan 14, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 40.82 | $0.490 | $1.84 | -$18.16 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-01 19:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 15:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
30 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 15:27 UTC
polymarket positions
27 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-01 19:30 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $191.05 and losing ones cost $283.15 across 25 settled positions. 64% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $101.72 on “Will Biden finish his term?” (Yes); the largest loss, $69.59 on “Trump wins every swing state?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 14 Jan 2026. It has traded 29 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.84 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 40.82 |
| $0.490 |
| $20 |
| Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Sep 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.680 | $10.2 | Jul 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Jul 16, 2025 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.740 | $11.1 | Jul 16, 2025 UTC |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Jul 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.170 | $25.5 | May 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No | buy | 30 | $0.787 | $23.61 | May 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No | buy | 30 | $0.792 | $23.77 | May 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?No | buy | 10 | $0.939 | $9.39 | May 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.560 | $22.4 | May 8, 2025 UTC |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | May 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | May 1, 2025 UTC |
 Starmer out before July?No | buy | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | May 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.440 | $19.8 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Feb 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Feb 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 11 | $0.922 | $10.14 | Jan 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?No | buy | 60 | $0.260 | $15.6 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.440 | $19.8 | Sep 25, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?No | buy | 40 | $0.549 | $21.96 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?No | buy | 75 | $0.540 | $40.5 | Aug 14, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.460 | $25.3 | Aug 14, 2024 UTC |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 88.09 | $0.790 | $69.59 | Jul 28, 2024 UTC |
 Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 100 | $0.935 | $93.5 | Jul 25, 2024 UTC |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.680 | $170 | Jul 23, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30 | Jul 22, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.330 | $30 | Jul 22, 2024 UTC |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.580 | $30 | Jul 22, 2024 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.