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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.72K | $0.580 | $922.41 | -$77.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 281.6 | $0.178 | $50 | 15h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 886.51 |
| $0.620 |
| $465.42 |
| -$84.58 |
 Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | Yes | 1.08K | $0.371 | $422.05 | +$22.05 |
 Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? | Yes | 613.61 | $0.652 | $401.91 | +$1.91 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 422.54 | $0.710 | $365.49 | +$65.49 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 681.82 | $0.440 | $344.32 | +$44.32 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 576.92 | $0.520 | $291.35 | -$8.65 |
 Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 304.89 | $0.656 | $263.73 | +$63.73 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 714.29 | $0.350 | $253.57 | +$3.57 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 424.27 | $0.412 | $244.59 | +$69.59 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | Yes | 400.1 | $0.625 | $186.05 | -$63.95 |
| Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? | No | 412.2 | $0.393 | $142.21 | -$19.79 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 461.54 | $0.260 | $140.77 | +$20.77 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 220.91 | $0.440 | $102.72 | +$5.52 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 701.03 | $0.097 | $92.89 | +$24.89 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 549.99 | $0.190 | $88 | -$16.5 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | Yes | 156.65 | $0.400 | $67.36 | +$4.7 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 973.6 | $0.051 | $43.81 | -$6.19 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 281.6 | $0.177 | $43.65 | -$6.35 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 500 | $0.100 | $42.5 | -$7.5 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.100 |
| $50 |
| 15h ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 973.6 | $0.051 | $50 | 15h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 576.92 | $0.520 | $300 | 15h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 714.29 | $0.350 | $250 | 15h ago |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 120 | $0.440 | $52.8 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 340.91 | $0.440 | $150 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.72K | $0.580 | $1K | 8d ago |
| Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?Yes | buy | 613.61 | $0.652 | $400 | 8d ago |
| Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?No | buy | 412.2 | $0.393 | $162 | 8d ago |
 Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Yes | buy | 253.57 | $0.592 | $150 | 8d ago |
 Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Yes | buy | 645.15 | $0.388 | $250 | 8d ago |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes | buy | 400.1 | $0.625 | $250 | 26d ago |
| Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.371 | $400 | 26d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 424.27 | $0.524 | $222.29 | 26d ago |
 Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 997.76 | $0.501 | $500 | 26d ago |
| Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?No | buy | 1.82K | $0.550 | $1K | 26d ago |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.010 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 701.03 | $0.097 | $68 | 28d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 928.2 | $0.539 | $500 | 28d ago |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No | buy | 868.85 | $0.288 | $250 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.728 | $1K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.650 | $150 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 285.92 | $0.525 | $150 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 461.54 | $0.260 | $120 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 307.6 | $0.453 | $139.48 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 196.7 | $0.093 | $18.32 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 583.12 | $0.144 | $83.97 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | sell | 294.11 | $0.890 | $261.76 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 620.26 | $0.039 | $24.19 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 480.73 | $0.728 | $350 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 331.86 | $0.938 | $311.15 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.510 | $150 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 655.74 | $0.610 | $400 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 562.63 | $0.355 | $200 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 826.66 | $0.830 | $686.13 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 681.82 | $0.440 | $300 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 583.13 | $0.086 | $50 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes | sell | 198.63 | $0.530 | $105.27 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes | buy | 262.6 | $0.790 | $207.46 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 331.87 | $0.904 | $300 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 326.09 | $0.920 | $300 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?Yes | buy | 180.72 | $0.830 | $150 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 206.99 | $0.242 | $50 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 439.42 | $0.569 | $250 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 362.32 | $0.690 | $250 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 304.89 | $0.656 | $200 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 422.54 | $0.710 | $300 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 670.48 | $0.107 | $71.58 | Oct 22, 2025 |