Analytics
Yes is at 45%, about where the market opened on 27 Sep 2026.
Across the 25 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 6 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 29%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 20% on 28 Sep 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “How many EPL points will Man City be deducted?”.
$13.15 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.02K since listing. The order book holds $385.61, with a 26.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 176 trades, $555 bought Yes and $1.52K bought No.
The largest Yes position is burge146 with 351 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.6K. Ten wallets hold 86.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 5:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 27 Sep 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | 45.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 45.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.56K |
| burge146 | Yes | 350.76 |
| takeabreath | Yes | 350 |
This market will resolve according to the total number of Premier League points Manchester City FC is deducted as a sanction as a result of the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case), as officially determined as of June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. If a points deduction is reduced, increased, or overturned on appeal and the appeal decision is officially announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the most recent officially announced deduction will be used. If deductions are applied across more than one season, the total across all seasons will count. A suspended points deduction that is not immediately applied will not count. If no points deduction has been imposed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "0". If, as of June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the most recent officially announced sanction in this case expels Manchester City FC from the Premier League, this market will resolve to "Expelled", regardless of any points deduction. Each range includes both of its bounds, so every whole number of points maps to exactly one option. For example, a deduction of 10 points resolves to "10-19", and a deduction of 50 points resolves to "50+". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League, the independent Regulatory Commission, the Appeal Board, or Manchester City FC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-premier-league-points-will-manchester-city-be-deducted
| haouibao |
| Yes |
| 230 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 120 |
| RVGym | Yes | 108.3 |
| HIM.HE | Yes | 96.77 |
| frontiertrade | Yes | 80 |
| Surprised-Sitar | No | 79.37 |
| Opulent-Communicant | Yes | 60.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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