Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
DoesPeterThielKnowAboutThis has made $21.59K on Polymarket, #7,500 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 371.26 | $0.076 | $316.13 | +$287.91 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 23:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 04:11 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 04:11 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 1,629 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.66K across 64 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 959 |
| $0.333 |
| $311.67 |
| -$7.27 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 669.98 | $0.271 | $271.34 | +$89.85 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 523.54 | $0.185 | $248.68 | +$151.8 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 765.53 | $0.266 | $168.42 | -$35.09 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 1.07K | $0.181 | $144.54 | -$49.48 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 209.99 | $0.373 | $132.82 | +$54.49 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 600 | $0.037 | $120.6 | +$98.4 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 279.97 | $0.409 | $82.17 | -$32.48 |
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 110 | $0.439 | $68.2 | +$19.9 |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 140 | $0.180 | $62.3 | +$37.1 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 90 | $0.490 | $53.55 | +$9.45 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | No | 60 | $0.334 | $45.48 | +$25.44 |
No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 60 | $0.802 | $44.01 | -$4.11 |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.680 | $43.2 | +$2.4 |
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 60 | $0.628 | $38.22 | +$0.54 |
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.130 | $35.25 | +$15.75 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.116 | $34.65 | -$86.75 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.196 | $31 | +$11.4 |
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | Yamal | 110 | $0.490 | $29.15 | -$24.75 |
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 60 | $0.600 | $28.8 | -$7.2 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.041 | $28.75 | +$8.25 |
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 75.43 | $0.275 | $27.53 | +$6.82 |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 60 | $0.420 | $25.2 | $0 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 220.21 | $0.264 | $24.22 | -$33.83 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.