Analytics
Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
DoesPeterThielKnowAboutThis has made $21.59K on Polymarket, #7,500 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 945.08 | $0.332 | $335.5 | +$21.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 20:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 23:20 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 23:20 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 1,629 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.72K across 64 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 371.26 |
| $0.076 |
| $314.27 |
| +$286.06 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 669.98 | $0.271 | $274.69 | +$93.2 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 523.54 | $0.185 | $253.92 | +$157.03 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 765.53 | $0.266 | $176.07 | -$27.43 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 1.07K | $0.181 | $144.54 | -$49.48 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 209.99 | $0.373 | $133.45 | +$55.12 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 600 | $0.037 | $102.6 | +$80.4 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 279.97 | $0.409 | $78.67 | -$35.98 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 110 | $0.439 | $72.05 | +$23.75 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 140 | $0.180 | $62.3 | +$37.1 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 90 | $0.490 | $53.55 | +$9.45 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | No | 60 | $0.334 | $45.48 | +$25.44 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.680 | $44.4 | +$3.6 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 60 | $0.628 | $42.18 | +$4.5 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 60 | $0.802 | $41.07 | -$7.05 |
 Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.130 | $35.25 | +$15.75 |
 Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | Yamal | 110 | $0.490 | $33 | -$20.9 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.196 | $31.3 | +$11.7 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.116 | $29.4 | -$92 |
 Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 60 | $0.600 | $28.8 | -$7.2 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.041 | $28.75 | +$8.25 |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 75.43 | $0.275 | $26.02 | +$5.31 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 60 | $0.420 | $25.5 | +$0.3 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 63.2 | $0.160 | $22.75 | +$12.64 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
