Analytics
Yes is at 44.5%, up 3 points from 41.5% when the market opened on 7 Aug 2026.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60.5% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 8 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 52.5%; a month before, 53%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 57% on 23 Sep 2026.
Anne Hathaway is the favourite of the 17 outcomes in “Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner”, ahead of Amanda Seyfried at 23.2%.
$1.06K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $34.27K since listing. The order book holds $2.12K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 410 trades, $6.87K bought Yes and $4.99K bought No; the largest was a $1.74K buy of No at 62.1¢.
The largest Yes position is wolfmoon with 3.3K shares; the largest No position is SnapElectionAvoider with 3.2K. Ten wallets hold 75.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 7 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 41.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 44.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wolfmoon | Yes | 3.34K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 3.17K |
| FrozenParasite | No | 1.5K |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-supporting-actress-winner-1754500000000
5 more outcomes, none above 0.4%.
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile |
| Yes |
| 1.44K |
| oliman2 | Yes | 1.1K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 809.87 |
| 0x49F206 | No | 590.22 |
| DirkDiggler67 | No | 555 |
| leftisright | Yes | 494.15 |
| UntitledUser1 | Yes | 335.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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