Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?No | sell | 7.32 | $0.951 | $6.96 | Sep 23, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 18.14 |
| $0.930 |
| $16.87 |
| Sep 20, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.61 | $0.484 | $8.04 | Sep 17, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Sep 17, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.014 | $0.5 | Sep 17, 2024 |
 Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.999 | $0.01 | Sep 17, 2024 |
| Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Sep 17, 2024 |
 Megaquake in September?No | sell | 20.57 | $0.950 | $19.54 | Sep 17, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.61 | $0.660 | $14.92 | Sep 14, 2024 |
| Megaquake in September?No | buy | 12.04 | $0.950 | $11.44 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | sell | 12.17 | $0.940 | $11.44 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.700 | $1.47 | Sep 7, 2024 |
| COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Sep 7, 2024 |
| Megaquake in September?No | buy | 8.53 | $0.940 | $8.02 | Sep 5, 2024 |
| COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 32.17 | $0.930 | $29.92 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?No | buy | 17.02 | $0.940 | $16 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 15.07 | $0.740 | $11.15 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 Will France ban Telegram before October?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 Will Ex-Amazon VP reveal who seduced his wife?No | buy | 4.34 | $0.950 | $4.12 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Drag queen at DNC?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.910 | $3.75 | Aug 20, 2024 |
 Will $BTC reach 75k before September?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.054 | $0.3 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 US bank failure by October 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.760 | $6.08 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.780 | $9.36 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?Yes | sell | 2.82 | $0.900 | $2.54 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?Yes | buy | 2.8 | $0.910 | $2.55 | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?No | buy | 5.72 | $0.938 | $5.37 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?Yes | buy | 10.27 | $0.779 | $8 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in August?No | sell | 3.98 | $0.972 | $3.87 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in August?No | sell | 1 | $0.972 | $0.97 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in August?Yes | sell | 0.71 | $0.027 | $0.02 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in August?Yes | buy | 0.71 | $0.028 | $0.02 | Aug 11, 2024 |
 China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No | sell | 8.55 | $0.998 | $8.53 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No | buy | 8.56 | $0.929 | $7.95 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.257 | $7.71 | Aug 10, 2024 |
 Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.920 | $7.36 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | buy | 18.14 | $0.850 | $15.42 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Aug 8, 2024 |
| Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 8, 2024 |
| Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 8, 2024 |
 Bank of Japan emergency rate cut in August?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Aug 8, 2024 |
| China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No | sell | 13 | $0.937 | $12.18 | Aug 8, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.491 | $24.55 | Aug 8, 2024 |
| US bank failure by October 31?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.310 | $18.23 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in August?No | buy | 4.98 | $0.920 | $4.58 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?No | buy | 8 | $0.826 | $6.61 | Aug 3, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | buy | 16.49 | $0.710 | $11.71 | Aug 3, 2024 |
| US bank failure by October 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Aug 3, 2024 |
| US bank failure before September?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Aug 3, 2024 |