
Resolved No on 26 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 14% on 23 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 23 Aug 2024 to 26 Aug 2024, the highest close was 14% on 23 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 26 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 4.5% on 24 Aug 2024. $75.79K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 27, 7:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 23 Aug 2024 – 26 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2024 | 14.0% |
| 26 Aug 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jakubr | Yes | 166.67 |
| Cumbersome-Mandarin | Yes | 49.54 |
| Psychotrading | Yes | 27.78 |
| Kamui | Yes | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On August 22, Ethan Evans posted on LinkedIn and X that "A CEO that I worked for seduced my wife" (see: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/ethanevansvp_a-ceo-that-i-worked-for-seduced-my-wife-in-activity-7232403648390029312-WWZd?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop). This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Amazon VP Ethan Evans publicly names the CEO who seduced his wife by August 25, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The individual will be considered named if Ethan Evans publicly states their first and last name, states either their first or last name along with accompanying details which confirm the individuals identity, or otherwise definitively confirms the identity of the individual (e.g. if someone asks whether it was a specific individual and Ethan confirms, it will count). The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Ethan Evans.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ex-amazon-vp-ethan-reveal-who-seduced-his-wife
| FreeDurov | Yes | 25 |
| saavirimal1977 | No | 0.32 |
| gepardamig1985 | No | 0.19 |
| chriskontlurads1970 | No | 0.18 |
| timericse1976 | No | 0.18 |
| rempdanmama1975 | No | 0.15 |
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