Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 83.5% on 17 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 17 Aug 2024 to 1 Nov 2024, the highest close was 83.5% on 17 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 64% on 18 Aug 2024. $195.76K traded over the market's life.
71 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 1, 9:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 17 Aug 2024 – 1 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2024 | 83.5% |
| 1 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fafafofo | Yes | 9.61K |
| Amber Ledger B961 | Yes | 1.16K |
| BakeryOfModena | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 10 or more confirmed cases of Monkeypox (Mpox) Clade 1 in the territory of the United States of America reported between August 16 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g. the CDC), however sources from NGOs like the WHO, or information from other reputable medical institutions may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/10-monkeypox-cases-in-us-by-october-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 627.28 |
| Unhealthy-System | Yes | 294.12 |
| netizen | Yes | 150 |
| Gnoufier | Yes | 109.09 |
| LittleImp | Yes | 88.89 |
| Mikk | Yes | 76.92 |
| userx7 | Yes | 58.82 |
