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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | buy | 4.03K | $0.020 | $79 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 47.27 |
| $0.021 |
| $1 |
| Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 60 or more times Nov 15-22?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross less than $45m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 350-374 times October 25 - November 1?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?No | sell | 120.8 | $0.021 | $2.54 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "too big to rig" 2 or more times during New York rally on October 27?No | sell | 11 | $0.260 | $2.86 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during New York rally on October 27?No | sell | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump x Rogan interview last 120-150 min?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?No | buy | 120.8 | $0.025 | $3 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump x Rogan interview last 150-180 min?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.269 | $8.08 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump x Rogan interview last 120-150 min?Yes | buy | 46.52 | $0.064 | $3 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Joe Rogan Experience?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.271 | $27.13 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will Trump x Rogan interview last 180 min or more?Yes | buy | 83.11 | $0.036 | $3 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will Trump x Rogan interview last 150-180 min?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Joe Rogan Experience?Yes | buy | 130.43 | $0.230 | $30 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.23-1.28°C?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.17-1.22°C?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the Mexico City Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during New York rally on October 27?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "too big to rig" 2 or more times during New York rally on October 27?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | sell | 335 | $0.014 | $4.69 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 50 or more times October 18-25?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.740 | $13.45 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "beach" during North Carolina rally October 22?Yes | buy | 55.93 | $0.696 | $38.95 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Alien Enemies Act" during North Carolina rally October 22?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Awonder Liang win the 2024 US Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 48.39 | $0.062 | $3 | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 335 | $0.009 | $3 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 No one announced as next BlackRock CEO?No | sell | 46.15 | $0.041 | $1.89 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Yes | buy | 151.67 | $0.240 | $36.4 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Yes | buy | 84.49 | $0.237 | $20 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "AI" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.055 | $5 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.024 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 213.33 | $0.014 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| September temperature increase by more than 1.40°C?Yes | buy | 329.68 | $0.009 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| September temperature increase by between 1.35-1.40°C?Yes | buy | 361.11 | $0.008 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| September temperature increase by between 1.29-1.34°C?Yes | buy | 314.71 | $0.010 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| September temperature increase by less than 1.17°C?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| September temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.369 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| No one announced as next BlackRock CEO?No | buy | 46.15 | $0.065 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 50 or more times October 18-25?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Did Ye cheat on Bianca?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "skibidi" before the election?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.025 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |