Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 117.9 | $0.797 | $109.06 | +$15.05 |
 US recession by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 83.87 |
| $0.731 |
| $77.58 |
| +$16.23 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 71.06 | $0.826 | $68.68 | +$9.99 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | No | 41.89 | $0.835 | $39.94 | +$4.94 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 22.29 | $0.538 | $10.81 | -$1.19 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 24.39 | $0.410 | $8.66 | -$1.34 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 8.46 | $0.827 | $7.91 | +$0.91 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5.52 | +$0.52 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 4 | $0.750 | $3.74 | +$0.74 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 12.2 | $0.410 | $3.23 | -$1.77 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 4.05 | $0.740 | $2.86 | -$0.14 |
 Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? | No | 1.14 | $0.881 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 3.72 | $0.210 | $0.22 | -$0.56 |
 Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.03 | -$0.97 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | No | 4 | $0.250 | $0.02 | -$0.98 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
| buy |
| 6.17 |
| $0.810 |
| $5 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 27.52 | $0.167 | $4.6 | May 6, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 44.87 | $0.780 | $35 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.720 | $15 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 4.11 | $0.700 | $2.88 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?No | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?No | sell | 2.47 | $0.931 | $2.3 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in March?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.420 | $0.97 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in March?No | buy | 4.8 | $0.610 | $2.93 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 71.05 | $0.915 | $65.01 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 56.6 | $0.530 | $30 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 2.66 | $0.750 | $2 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 ECB rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 99 | $0.202 | $20 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.850 | $3.03 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 27.37 | $0.183 | $5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?No | sell | 9.6 | $0.660 | $6.34 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 29.44 | $0.650 | $19.14 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?No | sell | 70.74 | $0.615 | $43.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 45.99 | $0.650 | $29.89 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?No | buy | 20.45 | $0.489 | $10 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.560 | $8 | Mar 20, 2026 |