Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 44.5%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 107 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 26 Mar 2026, the highest close was 79.7% on 23 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2.4% on 2 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 58 points up, to 73.2% on 21 Mar 2026. $94.8K traded over the market's life.
61 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 27, 8:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 107 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 26 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 52.5% |
| 26 Mar 2026 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeGamma | No | 2K |
| harrypotterr | No | 1.21K |
| xpet1 | No | 565.51 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-by-march-31
| No |
| 500 |
| OptionK | No | 500 |
| pako | No | 393.42 |
| jkls33333jkljh3845kk3hhhh4444 | No | 340.2 |
| LukeAlpha | No | 300 |
| Rapid Voyager 3684 | Yes | 260.99 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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