Analytics
pako has made $385.87K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 351.67K | $0.871 | $331.09K | +$24.78K |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | +$147.31 | $147.31 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% | $33.58 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-16 21:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
33 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 13:53 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 13:53 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-16 21:41 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $885.52K and losing ones cost $452.39K across the latest 50 settled positions. 74% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $154.39K on “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $178.04K on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?” (No).
It has traded 482 markets. Most of the volume is in politics ($147.31). Its open positions are worth $361.5K across 33 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 8.85K |
| $0.650 |
| $8.39K |
| +$2.63K |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.82K | $0.658 | $6.15K | -$2.94K |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 5.56K | $0.537 | $4.17K | +$1.19K |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 4.22K | $0.745 | $3.63K | +$482.08 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15K | $0.450 | $2.62K | -$4.12K |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 1.65K | $0.940 | $1.6K | +$49.81 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | No | 1.02K | $0.900 | $969.4 | +$49.38 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 667.28 | $0.774 | $652.93 | +$136.37 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? | Yes | 575.66 | $0.847 | $558.97 | +$71.24 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.04K | $0.188 | $496.97 | -$1.39K |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 560.78 | $0.364 | $252.35 | +$48.22 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? | No | 233.65 | $0.740 | $227.34 | +$54.54 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? | No | 229.64 | $0.815 | $226.88 | +$39.68 |
 Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | No | 155.8 | $0.801 | $147.23 | +$22.38 |
 Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.28K | $0.376 | $146.8 | -$332.83 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.710 | $90.05 | +$19.05 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027? | No | 14.55 | $0.877 | $14.3 | +$1.53 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.450 | $10.5 | -$34.5 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.850 | $9.55 | +$1.05 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.390 | $8.55 | +$4.65 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 255 | $0.622 | $7.91 | -$150.59 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.640 | $4.88 | +$1.68 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.760 | $4.63 | +$0.83 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.810 | $4.58 | +$0.53 |
4 of 7 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 1 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
