Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:31 PM UTC.
Analytics
polikstoproc is down $25.5 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 39 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:31 PM UTC.
$11.21 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 54.0% were buys. They run from Oct 14, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will three people dissent the October Fed decision? | No | 24.2 | $0.830 | $19.48 | -$0.6 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 26.03 | $0.310 | $8.07 | 1h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 21:44 UTC
Polymarket public position response
32 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 23:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 23:31 UTC
polymarket positions
41 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 21:44 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $55.78 and losing ones cost $45.4 across 39 settled positions. 46.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $12.75 on “Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?” (Yes); the largest loss, $17.56 on “Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 75 markets. Its open positions are worth $257.75 across 32 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 20.07 |
| $0.878 |
| $19.06 |
| +$1.43 |
 Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference? | No | 22.56 | $0.770 | $17.15 | -$0.23 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 174.77 | $0.112 | $14.07 | -$5.44 |
 Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | No | 16.37 | $0.780 | $13.83 | +$1.06 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 13.8 | $0.850 | $12.77 | +$1.04 |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? | No | 32.11 | $0.360 | $12.52 | +$0.96 |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 42.43 | $0.318 | $12.43 | -$1.06 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | No | 17.78 | $0.622 | $11.82 | +$0.76 |
 Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | Yes | 29.37 | $0.370 | $11.6 | +$0.73 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 36.47 | $0.420 | $11.12 | -$4.19 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 11.88 | $0.850 | $10.04 | -$0.06 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 33.35 | $0.309 | $9.94 | -$0.36 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | No | 10.46 | $0.900 | $9.69 | +$0.27 |
 Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races? | No | 11.32 | $0.730 | $8.49 | +$0.23 |
 Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 12.31 | $0.720 | $8.3 | -$0.56 |
 Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026? | No | 19.5 | $0.620 | $7.61 | -$4.49 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 42.29 | $0.503 | $6.55 | -$14.74 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | No | 38.49 | $0.390 | $6.16 | -$8.85 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 28.12 | $0.257 | $5.91 | -$1.33 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | No | 28.83 | $0.300 | $5.19 | -$3.46 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 5.38 | $0.870 | $5.03 | +$0.35 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | Yes | 30.22 | $0.250 | $4.85 | -$2.7 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000? | Yes | 10 | $0.390 | $3.45 | -$0.45 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 22, 2026? | No | 28.09 | $0.510 | $2.95 | -$11.38 |
| buy |
| 7.32 |
| $0.304 |
| $2.23 |
| 1h ago |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.610 | $9.68 | 4h ago |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?Yes | buy | 17.01 | $0.528 | $8.98 | 6h ago |
| Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?No | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | 10h ago |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No | buy | 12.31 | $0.720 | $8.86 | 14h ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.900 | $9.41 | 15h ago |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 11.88 | $0.850 | $10.1 | 15h ago |
| Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Yes | buy | 29.37 | $0.370 | $10.87 | 16h ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?No | buy | 32.11 | $0.360 | $11.56 | 1d ago |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?No | buy | 19.5 | $0.620 | $12.09 | 1d ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?No | buy | 16.37 | $0.780 | $12.77 | 1d ago |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 42.43 | $0.318 | $13.49 | 1d ago |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 22, 2026?No | buy | 28.09 | $0.510 | $14.33 | 1d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?No | buy | 39.84 | $0.390 | $15.54 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026?No | sell | 21.52 | $0.720 | $15.49 | 1d ago |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | 1d ago |
| Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?No | buy | 21.32 | $0.730 | $15.56 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?No | buy | 9.88 | $0.870 | $8.6 | 2d ago |
 Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No | sell | 19.62 | $0.800 | $15.7 | 3d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?Yes | sell | 11.81 | $0.520 | $6.14 | 3d ago |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026?No | buy | 24.98 | $0.620 | $15.49 | 3d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.550 | $2.76 | 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.26 | $0.850 | $16.37 | 4d ago |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.22 | $0.550 | $5.62 | 4d ago |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?No | sell | 7.56 | $0.990 | $7.48 | 5d ago |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?No | sell | 7.92 | $0.990 | $7.84 | 5d ago |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?No | sell | 1.95 | $0.990 | $1.93 | 5d ago |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.990 | $1.65 | 5d ago |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No | buy | 22.7 | $0.691 | $15.69 | 6d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?Yes | sell | 8.47 | $0.650 | $5.51 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.8 | $0.870 | $16.36 | 7d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?No | buy | 22.56 | $0.770 | $17.37 | 7d ago |
 Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?No | sell | 13.63 | $0.990 | $13.49 | 7d ago |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.450 | $6.14 | 8d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?No | buy | 20.07 | $0.878 | $17.62 | 9d ago |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?No | buy | 21 | $0.900 | $18.9 | 9d ago |
| Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?No | buy | 24.2 | $0.830 | $20.09 | 9d ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?No | sell | 14.66 | $0.960 | $14.07 | 9d ago |
 Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | sell | 148.5 | $0.198 | $29.4 | 9d ago |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?No | sell | 21.59 | $0.910 | $19.65 | 9d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 38.15 | $0.280 | $10.68 | 9d ago |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?No | sell | 14.27 | $0.990 | $14.13 | 9d ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?No | sell | 16.09 | $0.950 | $15.29 | 9d ago |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?No | sell | 8.43 | $0.970 | $8.18 | 9d ago |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?No | sell | 5.08 | $0.970 | $4.93 | 9d ago |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?No | sell | 4.43 | $0.970 | $4.3 | 9d ago |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 16, 2026?No | buy | 23.24 | $0.530 | $12.32 | 9d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No | buy | 15.31 | $0.710 | $10.87 | 9d ago |
 Will China’s CPI increase by at least 1.1% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?No | sell | 13.8 | $0.838 | $11.56 | 9d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 1m ago. Watch only — not advice.