Analytics
Yes is at 15%, down 11 points from 26% when the market opened on 12 Sep 2026.
The high was 26% on 12 Sep 2026 and the low 10% on 17 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 21.5%. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 19% on 13 Sep 2026.
0.1% ranks third of the 7 outcomes in “Core CPI MoM - September 2026”. 0.2% leads at 47.5%; 0.3% is at 33.5%.
$213.9 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.58K since listing. The order book holds $2.35K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 112 trades, $350.48 bought Yes and $1.68K bought No.
The largest Yes position is podairpod with 2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2K. Ten wallets hold 90% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 15 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 11, 8:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 31 points · 12 Sep 2026 – 11 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | 26.0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 15.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| podairpod | Yes | 2.03K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.98K |
| thursdays | No | 453.48 |
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month). The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-mom-september-2026
| perfectnostalgia |
| Yes |
| 334.61 |
| 38791873984189 | No | 151.49 |
| TruthSignalFramework | Yes | 149 |
| marksman | No | 132.95 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 109 |
| 7418399 | No | 100 |
| AJSV | Yes | 97.64 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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