Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 49.5%. Yes opened at 26% on 12 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 53% on 16 Sep 2026 and the low 26% on 12 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 49.5% on 15 Sep 2026. $23.15K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 15, 12:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 12 Sep 2026 – 14 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | 26.0% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.18K |
| simpleman | Yes | 1.28K |
| petersohn | Yes | 741.28 |
| mewmew1 | Yes | 709.39 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month). The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-mom-september-2026
| firegold | Yes | 569.84 |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | 193.06 |
| pykue | Yes | 182 |
| Eicardo | Yes | 134.42 |
| brrbank | Yes | 106 |
| steevo | Yes | 83.39 |
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