Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.910 | $1.94K | +$119 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Yes | buy | 36.93 | $0.781 | $28.84 | 40m ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.1K |
| $0.945 |
| $1.08K |
| +$46.32 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? | No | 848.92 | $0.962 | $848.5 | +$32.21 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 664.63 | $0.870 | $608.14 | +$30.07 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 766.01 | $0.561 | $348.53 | -$81.37 |
 Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 464.16 | $0.383 | $278.5 | +$100.79 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 98.97 | $0.781 | $91.99 | +$14.7 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 93.91 | $0.880 | $86.87 | +$4.23 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | Yes | 97.02 | $0.863 | $78.25 | -$5.51 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | No | 43.29 | $0.843 | $40.76 | +$4.28 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 37.88 | $0.750 | $32.77 | +$4.36 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 44.6 | $0.687 | $26.2 | -$4.45 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 44.15 | $0.672 | $23.6 | -$6.07 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 41.61 | $0.747 | $14.36 | -$16.74 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? | Yes | 27.62 | $0.370 | $9.11 | -$1.1 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 102.68 | $0.205 | $8.27 | -$12.84 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 87.84 | $0.617 | $7.47 | -$46.73 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.635 | $6.95 | +$0.6 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 51.18 | $0.210 | $5.37 | -$5.37 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9? | No | 5 | $0.990 | $5 | +$0.05 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 21.96 | $0.180 | $1.43 | -$2.53 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.320 | $0.73 | -$0.88 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 0.54 | $0.730 | $0.35 | -$0.04 |
| buy |
| 548.92 |
| $0.979 |
| $537.28 |
| 2d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 954.51 | $0.140 | $133.63 | 5d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 508.45 | $0.122 | $61.99 | 5d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 387.32 | $0.150 | $58.1 | 5d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 433.04 | $0.150 | $64.96 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 51.18 | $0.210 | $10.75 | 5d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 820.36 | $0.137 | $112.36 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?No | buy | 89 | $0.804 | $71.59 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?No | buy | 25.84 | $0.811 | $20.95 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.820 | $5.18 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.805 | $4.02 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.5 | $0.996 | $22.41 | 6d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Yes | buy | 20.23 | $0.910 | $18.41 | 6d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Yes | buy | 10.59 | $0.910 | $9.64 | 6d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.911 | $21.68 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.5 | $0.980 | $22.05 | 6d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 44.19 | $0.150 | $6.63 | 7d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 910.23 | $0.830 | $755.49 | 7d ago |
 Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | sell | 596.91 | $0.981 | $585.57 | 7d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | sell | 320.7 | $0.983 | $315.15 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.16 | $0.979 | $19.74 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.29 | $0.980 | $13.02 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.12 | $0.977 | $47.03 | 7d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 38.2 | $0.530 | $20.25 | 7d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 44.77 | $0.530 | $23.73 | 8d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 910.23 | $0.840 | $764.59 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 478.37 | $0.390 | $186.56 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 136.85 | $0.390 | $53.37 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 95.79 | $0.390 | $37.36 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 83.77 | $0.390 | $32.67 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 55.16 | $0.390 | $21.51 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 106.81 | $0.390 | $41.66 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 826.75 | $0.400 | $330.7 | 8d ago |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | 8d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 16.32 | $0.800 | $13.06 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" 2+ times during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 0.6 | $0.790 | $0.47 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 15.58 | $0.880 | $13.71 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 35.89 | $0.870 | $31.22 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 63.47 | $0.870 | $55.22 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 5.22 | $0.840 | $4.38 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 13.05 | $0.840 | $10.96 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 17.52 | $0.840 | $14.72 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 80.36 | $0.840 | $67.5 | 19d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 896.01 | $0.710 | $636.17 | 19d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 44.15 | $0.672 | $29.67 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 187.97 | $0.935 | $175.75 | 19d ago |