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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 8.13K | $0.705 | $7.55K | +$1.82K |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 136.34 | $0.670 | $91.41 | 1h ago |
|
| No |
| 3.01K |
| $0.541 |
| $2.7K |
| +$1.07K |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.3K | $0.820 | $2.69K | -$17.82 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 4.3K | $0.406 | $1.91K | +$165.91 |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 1.92K | $0.873 | $1.7K | +$22.44 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | No | 1.36K | $0.823 | $1.29K | +$177.02 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | No | 1.26K | $0.934 | $1.21K | +$35.36 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 3.3K | $0.424 | $972.07 | -$426.16 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 1.06K | $0.475 | $944.04 | +$440.33 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 876.91 | $0.750 | $823.42 | +$165.23 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 836.9 | $0.850 | $744.84 | +$33.54 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 802.28 | $0.840 | $742.11 | +$68.19 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.690 | $674.99 | -$15 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 734.24 | $0.719 | $662.65 | +$134.97 |
 Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | Yes | 1.36K | $0.595 | $645.9 | -$162.66 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 636.81 | $0.838 | $595.42 | +$61.74 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 772.37 | $0.459 | $502.04 | +$147.77 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 659.88 | $0.660 | $491.61 | +$56.09 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 1.14K | $0.386 | $473.95 | +$34 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in September? | No | 488.22 | $0.751 | $436.96 | +$70.19 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September? | No | 470.61 | $0.821 | $435.31 | +$49.05 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.97% in September? | No | 464.72 | $0.678 | $401.98 | +$86.8 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 601.56 | $0.515 | $321.83 | +$11.72 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | No | 533.44 | $0.814 | $317.4 | -$116.76 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | Yes | 628.97 | $0.448 | $286.18 | +$4.25 |
| buy |
| 38 |
| $0.607 |
| $23.05 |
| 1h ago |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.787 | $23.6 | 2h ago |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 474.46 | $0.663 | $314.71 | 2h ago |
| Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | buy | 142.62 | $0.320 | $45.64 | 2h ago |
| Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | 5h ago |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 659.88 | $0.660 | $435.52 | 5h ago |
| Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 801.28 | $0.024 | $19.01 | 5h ago |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 170.21 | $0.319 | $54.24 | 5h ago |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 97.42 | $0.270 | $26.3 | 5h ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?Yes | buy | 90.08 | $0.460 | $41.44 | 1d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.97% in September?No | buy | 488 | $0.678 | $330.97 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.680 | $339.99 | 1d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in September?No | buy | 488.22 | $0.751 | $366.77 | 1d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?No | buy | 1.52K | $0.934 | $1.42K | 1d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?No | buy | 515.61 | $0.821 | $423.2 | 1d ago |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.270 | $10.8 | 1d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.57K | $0.690 | $1.08K | 1d ago |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.360 | $46.8 | 1d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.450 | $49.5 | 2d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 889.99 | $0.690 | $614.09 | 2d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 474 | $0.690 | $327.06 | 2d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 474 | $0.690 | $327.06 | 2d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 532 | $0.690 | $367.08 | 2d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Yes | buy | 99.98 | $0.340 | $33.99 | 2d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.330 | $6.63 | 2d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 154.33 | $0.690 | $106.49 | 2d ago |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?Yes | buy | 276.07 | $0.480 | $132.51 | 2d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 206.53 | $0.950 | $196.2 | 3d ago |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 74.24 | $0.950 | $70.53 | 3d ago |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.27K | $0.930 | $1.18K | 3d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8.8K | $0.690 | $6.07K | 3d ago |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?No | sell | 324.46 | $0.942 | $305.73 | 3d ago |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?No | sell | 761.78 | $0.931 | $708.96 | 3d ago |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?No | sell | 177.01 | $0.951 | $168.38 | 3d ago |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | sell | 5.34K | $0.910 | $4.86K | 3d ago |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 694.9 | $0.972 | $675.44 | 3d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.690 | $6.9K | 3d ago |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 587.83 | $0.223 | $130.83 | 5d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.416 | $4.16 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 5d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 213.39 | $0.390 | $83.22 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.540 | $539.99 | 5d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.48K | $0.992 | $1.46K | 5d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 3.9%?Yes | buy | 460.88 | $0.038 | $17.49 | 5d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 4.3K | $0.710 | $3.05K | 5d ago |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.370 | $18.5 | 5d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 68.5 | $0.350 | $23.97 | 5d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.388 | $194.04 | 5d ago |