Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 12:54 AM UTC.
Analytics
TruthSignalFramework has made $185.46 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 12:54 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 36 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Oct 14, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.330 | $43.7 | +$28.7 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be above 17%?Yes | buy | 63.67 | $0.157 | $10 | 15h ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 19:29 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 00:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 00:54 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 19:29 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.61K and losing ones cost $525.77 across the latest 50 settled positions. 78% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $113.99 on “Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?” (Yes); the largest loss, $136.35 on “Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 305 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.19K across 92 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 68 |
| $0.320 |
| $43.18 |
| +$21.42 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 55 | $0.290 | $41.8 | +$25.85 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 51.43 | $0.350 | $34.1 | +$16.1 |
 SSI public model released by November 30, 2026? | No | 39.47 | $0.380 | $30 | +$15 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 42.76 | $0.304 | $29.63 | +$16.63 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? | Yes | 54.12 | $0.333 | $27.87 | +$9.87 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Cloud Revenue be above $30B? | Yes | 39 | $0.380 | $26.72 | +$11.9 |
 Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | Yes | 31.06 | $0.483 | $26.41 | +$11.41 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.300 | $26.33 | +$6.33 |
 Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%? | Yes | 57.69 | $0.260 | $25.96 | +$10.96 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $31B by October 31? | Yes | 59.95 | $0.250 | $24.58 | +$9.58 |
 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%? | Yes | 51.39 | $0.292 | $24.41 | +$9.41 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | No | 35 | $0.384 | $24.33 | +$10.87 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026? | No | 29.98 | $0.480 | $23.39 | +$8.99 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 34.04 | $0.470 | $23.15 | +$7.15 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.630 | $22.5 | +$3.6 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | No | 80 | $0.220 | $22 | +$4.4 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%? | No | 24 | $0.550 | $21.84 | +$8.64 |
 Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0% and 0.5%? | Yes | 70.85 | $0.170 | $21.61 | +$9.56 |
 Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 22.37 | $0.380 | $20.57 | +$12.07 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | Yes | 29.81 | $0.268 | $20.27 | +$12.27 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 21.05 | $0.380 | $20.16 | +$12.16 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | No | 26.45 | $0.302 | $19.44 | +$11.44 |
 Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? | No | 45.45 | $0.330 | $19.09 | +$4.09 |
| buy |
| 34 |
| $0.600 |
| $20.4 |
| 15h ago |
| Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0% and 0.5%?Yes | buy | 70.85 | $0.170 | $12.04 | 16h ago |
 Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?Yes | buy | 29.63 | $0.270 | $8 | 1d ago |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 22.58 | $0.310 | $7 | 1d ago |
 Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by October 31?Yes | sell | 26.5 | $0.850 | $22.53 | 2d ago |
 Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%?No | buy | 10 | $0.398 | $3.98 | 2d ago |
 Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 1% and 3%?Yes | buy | 74.98 | $0.200 | $15 | 2d ago |
 Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | 3d ago |
 Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?No | buy | 14.66 | $0.600 | $8.8 | 3d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?No | buy | 12.29 | $0.480 | $5.9 | 3d ago |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?Yes | buy | 34.09 | $0.352 | $12 | 3d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 3d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?No | buy | 6.35 | $0.480 | $3.05 | 3d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?No | buy | 6.35 | $0.480 | $3.05 | 3d ago |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | 3d ago |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.600 | $6.2 | 3d ago |
 Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 5% to 7%?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.430 | $15.05 | 3d ago |
 Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.410 | $6.15 | 3d ago |
| Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 4d ago |
 Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | 4d ago |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?No | buy | 51.72 | $0.290 | $15 | 4d ago |
 Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?No | buy | 28 | $0.558 | $15.63 | 5d ago |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.340 | $8.5 | 6d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | 6d ago |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.185 | $14.8 | 6d ago |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.270 | $15 | 8d ago |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.330 | $15 | 8d ago |
| Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.630 | $15 | 8d ago |
 Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $22B?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | 9d ago |
| Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $22B?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 9d ago |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?Yes | buy | 51.39 | $0.292 | $15 | 9d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 9.5 | $0.500 | $4.75 | 9d ago |
| Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.330 | $15 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 10d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Yes | sell | 66.87 | $0.236 | $15.77 | 10d ago |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $57B?Yes | buy | 51.86 | $0.289 | $15 | 10d ago |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 5% to 6.5%?Yes | buy | 1.7 | $0.340 | $0.58 | 10d ago |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 5% to 6.5%?Yes | buy | 15.3 | $0.340 | $5.2 | 10d ago |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 5% to 6.5%?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.340 | $6.12 | 10d ago |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 5% to 6.5%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 10d ago |
| Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?Yes | buy | 31.06 | $0.483 | $15 | 10d ago |
 Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 12.5% to 13.5%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | 11d ago |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 12.5% to 13.5%?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.330 | $1.62 | 11d ago |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 12.5% to 13.5%?Yes | buy | 20.07 | $0.330 | $6.62 | 11d ago |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.260 | $15 | 11d ago |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Cloud Revenue be above $30B?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | 11d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
