Analytics
TruthSignalFramework has made $185.46 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.330 | $43.7 | +$28.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 19:29 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 03:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 03:04 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 19:29 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.61K and losing ones cost $525.77 across the latest 50 settled positions. 78% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $113.99 on “Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?” (Yes); the largest loss, $136.35 on “Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?” (No).
It has traded 305 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.19K across 92 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 55 |
| $0.290 |
| $43.45 |
| +$27.5 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | Yes | 68 | $0.320 | $42.84 | +$21.08 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 51.43 | $0.350 | $32.66 | +$14.66 |
 SSI public model released by November 30, 2026? | No | 39.47 | $0.380 | $30 | +$15 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 42.76 | $0.304 | $29.49 | +$16.49 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? | Yes | 54.12 | $0.333 | $28.14 | +$10.14 |
 Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | Yes | 31.06 | $0.483 | $27.64 | +$12.64 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.300 | $26.67 | +$6.67 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Cloud Revenue be above $30B? | Yes | 39 | $0.380 | $26.52 | +$11.7 |
 Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%? | Yes | 57.69 | $0.260 | $25.96 | +$10.96 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $31B by October 31? | Yes | 59.95 | $0.250 | $24.58 | +$9.58 |
 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%? | Yes | 51.39 | $0.292 | $24.41 | +$9.41 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | No | 35 | $0.384 | $24.33 | +$10.87 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026? | No | 29.98 | $0.480 | $23.54 | +$9.14 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 34.04 | $0.470 | $23.15 | +$7.15 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.630 | $22.5 | +$3.6 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | No | 80 | $0.220 | $22.4 | +$4.8 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%? | No | 24 | $0.550 | $21.83 | +$8.63 |
 Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 22.37 | $0.380 | $20.51 | +$12.01 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | No | 26.45 | $0.302 | $20.5 | +$12.5 |
 Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? | No | 45.45 | $0.330 | $20.45 | +$5.45 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 21.05 | $0.380 | $20.13 | +$12.13 |
 Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs? | Yes | 34 | $0.600 | $18.7 | -$1.7 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | Yes | 29.81 | $0.268 | $18.13 | +$10.13 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
