Analytics
Yes is at 16%, down 7.5 points from 23.5% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 23.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3.8% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 3.8% on 20 Oct 2026.
1% to 3% ranks third of the 4 outcomes in “Target Q3 comparable sales growth?”. 3% to 5% leads at 45.5%; 5%+ is at 34%.
$104.98 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.75K since listing. The order book holds $828.68, with a 12.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 37 trades, $222.04 bought Yes and $223.79 bought No.
The largest Yes position is ProvidingExitLiq with 644 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 407.
Trading closes on 18 Nov 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 10:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 23.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 16.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ProvidingExitLiq | Yes | 644 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 406.74 |
| donthackme | No | 375.92 |
This market will resolve according to Target's announced comparable sales growth for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Target's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/target-q3-comparable-sales-growth
| TruthSignalFramework | Yes | 74.98 |
| 123987456 | Yes | 20 |
| aHjCz | Yes | 20 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 20 |
| Scotsban | Yes | 20 |
| Carabao | No | 20 |
| AJSV | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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