Analytics
Yes is at 31.5%, down 18 points from 49% when the market opened on 16 Sep 2026.
Across the 40 daily closes on record from 16 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 59% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 23% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 57%; a month before, 32%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 28.5% on 18 Sep 2026.
$252.27 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.33K since listing. The order book holds $27.02K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 115 trades, $344.96 bought Yes and $721.16 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 226 shares; the largest No position is estoicc with 240. Ten wallets hold 84% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 16 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | 49.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| estoicc | No | 240 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 225.77 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 217 |
Massachusetts Question 3, also referred to as the Top-Two Primary Elections Initiative, is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate partisan primaries and create a top-two advance election system in Massachusetts. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Massachusetts statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. A qualifying approval must clear any relevant numerical and turnout thresholds imposed by the relevant governing authority. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Massachusetts, including the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/massachusetts-passes-jungle-primary-ballot-measure
| cambridgeisaac |
| No |
| 190 |
| johnashbough | Yes | 117.03 |
| ab54545ba | No | 100 |
| Winged-Holder | Yes | 51 |
| BOOST250 | No | 50 |
| DuneMentat | No | 43 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 40.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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