Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:59 AM UTC.
Analytics
estoicc has made $8.73K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:59 AM UTC.
$56.29 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 26 markets; 64.0% were buys. They run from Oct 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31? | No | 411.49 | $0.363 | $392.35 | +$242.96 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | +$600.85 | $604.85 | 4 | 2 | 100.0% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | sell | 83.12 | $0.769 | $63.92 | 5h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 03:05 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 08:59 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 08:59 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 03:05 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $10.59K and losing ones cost $2.64K across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.45K on “Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?” (Yes); the largest loss, $484.1 on “Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?” (Yes).
It first traded on 27 Jun 2026 and most recently on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 874 markets. Most of the volume is in politics ($604.85). Its open positions are worth $5.63K across 84 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 290 |
| $0.500 |
| $212.57 |
| +$67.57 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by October 31? | No | 200 | $0.850 | $183 | +$13 |
 Will Cloud9 make a roster change by December? | Yes | 203 | $0.533 | $176.61 | +$68.4 |
 Will Meteor leave T1 in 2026? | Yes | 175 | $0.280 | $174.13 | +$125.13 |
 Will Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? | No | 180.95 | $0.630 | $171 | +$57 |
 Will Fnatic make a roster change by December? | Yes | 194 | $0.462 | $170.14 | +$80.49 |
 Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027? | No | 230 | $0.714 | $162.15 | -$2.12 |
 Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure? | No | 240 | $0.427 | $162 | +$59.4 |
 Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? | No | 234.78 | $0.230 | $151.43 | +$97.43 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 158.61 | $0.883 | $151.31 | +$11.31 |
 Will Dplus KIA make a roster change by December? | Yes | 234 | $0.400 | $128.7 | +$35.1 |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | Yes | 145.75 | $0.686 | $125.35 | +$25.35 |
 Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | No | 205.77 | $0.630 | $116.26 | -$13.37 |
 Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.560 | $112.5 | +$28.5 |
 Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31? | No | 118.18 | $0.880 | $109.38 | +$5.38 |
| Will Asuna leave 100 Thieves in 2026? | No | 120 | $0.650 | $102.6 | +$24.6 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $49B? | Yes | 128.21 | $0.780 | $99.36 | -$0.64 |
 Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31? | No | 227.85 | $0.439 | $99.11 | -$0.89 |
| Will invy leave Paper Rex in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.666 | $96.75 | -$3.15 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | No | 147.22 | $0.677 | $96.43 | -$3.27 |
 Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 3.5% to 4.5%? | No | 120.74 | $0.540 | $95.99 | +$30.79 |
 Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? | No | 131 | $0.127 | $86.46 | +$69.84 |
 Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | No | 127.78 | $0.626 | $86.25 | +$6.25 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | No | 100 | $0.410 | $84.25 | +$43.25 |
| sell |
| 126.58 |
| $0.994 |
| $125.82 |
| 5h ago |
| Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | sell | 9.87 | $0.830 | $8.19 | 1d ago |
| Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.830 | $5.81 | 1d ago |
 Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?No | sell | 95.14 | $0.700 | $66.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | buy | 94.12 | $0.650 | $61.18 | 1d ago |
 Spain General Election: PSOE gains seats?No | buy | 70 | $0.750 | $52.5 | 1d ago |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 3.5% to 4.5%?No | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 1d ago |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 156.62 | $0.900 | $140.96 | 1d ago |
| Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?No | sell | 48.2 | $0.660 | $31.81 | 1d ago |
 Spain General Election: SALF wins a seat?No | buy | 34.78 | $0.770 | $26.78 | 1d ago |
| Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.650 | $0.34 | 1d ago |
| Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?No | sell | 55 | $0.700 | $38.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?No | sell | 3.72 | $0.700 | $2.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 130 | $0.506 | $65.8 | 2d ago |
| Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | buy | 5.34 | $0.650 | $3.47 | 2d ago |
 Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?No | sell | 158.26 | $0.670 | $106.03 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 130 | $0.420 | $54.59 | 2d ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?No | sell | 106.77 | $0.680 | $72.6 | 2d ago |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?No | buy | 127.78 | $0.626 | $80 | 2d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?No | buy | 13.82 | $0.740 | $10.23 | 2d ago |
| Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?No | buy | 158.27 | $0.632 | $100 | 2d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?No | buy | 133.4 | $0.671 | $89.47 | 2d ago |
| Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?No | buy | 253.97 | $0.630 | $160 | 2d ago |
 Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 44.04 | $0.800 | $35.23 | 2d ago |
| Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.04 | $0.800 | $19.23 | 2d ago |
| Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 2d ago |
| Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 55.96 | $0.850 | $47.57 | 2d ago |
| Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 55.96 | $0.800 | $44.77 | 2d ago |
| Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?No | buy | 230 | $0.714 | $164.27 | 2d ago |
| Spain General Election: PSOE gains seats?No | buy | 17 | $0.800 | $13.6 | 2d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?Yes | buy | 80.85 | $0.742 | $60 | 2d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?Yes | buy | 95.08 | $0.610 | $58 | 2d ago |
 Will PP win the most seats in Pontevedra in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | 2d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?No | buy | 106.78 | $0.590 | $63 | 2d ago |
| Will PP win the most seats in Pontevedra in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.750 | $60 | 2d ago |
| Will PP win the most seats in Pontevedra in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 2d ago |
| Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?No | buy | 160.3 | $0.655 | $105 | 3d ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?No | buy | 105.41 | $0.740 | $78 | 3d ago |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 156.63 | $0.830 | $130 | 3d ago |
 Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 80.79 | $0.433 | $35 | 3d ago |
 Will the Democrats win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 82.93 | $0.410 | $34 | 3d ago |
| Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?No | buy | 240 | $0.427 | $102.6 | 3d ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | 3d ago |
 Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?No | buy | 106.67 | $0.750 | $80 | 3d ago |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | 3d ago |
 Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth 21% to 25%?Yes | buy | 73.97 | $0.622 | $46 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 158.61 | $0.883 | $140 | 3d ago |
4 of 7 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 1 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.