Analytics
estoicc has made $8.74K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31? | No | 411.49 | $0.363 | $378.98 | +$229.59 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | +$600.85 | $604.85 | 4 | 2 | 100.0% | $0 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 03:05 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 22:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 22:49 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 03:05 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $10.59K and losing ones cost $2.64K across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.45K on “Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?” (Yes); the largest loss, $484.1 on “Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 874 markets. Most of the volume is in politics ($604.85). Its open positions are worth $5.41K across 83 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 290 |
| $0.500 |
| $246.79 |
| +$101.79 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by October 31? | No | 200 | $0.850 | $189 | +$19 |
 Will Cloud9 make a roster change by December? | Yes | 203 | $0.533 | $178.64 | +$70.43 |
 Will Meteor leave T1 in 2026? | Yes | 175 | $0.280 | $174.13 | +$125.13 |
 Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure? | No | 240 | $0.427 | $162 | +$59.4 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 158.61 | $0.883 | $153.22 | +$13.22 |
 Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? | No | 234.78 | $0.230 | $151.43 | +$97.43 |
 Will Fnatic make a roster change by December? | Yes | 194 | $0.462 | $144.82 | +$55.17 |
 Will Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? | No | 180.95 | $0.630 | $140.6 | +$26.6 |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | Yes | 145.75 | $0.686 | $132.64 | +$32.64 |
 Will Dplus KIA make a roster change by December? | Yes | 234 | $0.400 | $128.7 | +$35.1 |
| Will invy leave Paper Rex in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.666 | $118.5 | +$18.6 |
 Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | No | 205.77 | $0.630 | $116.26 | -$13.37 |
 Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.560 | $116.25 | +$32.25 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $49B? | Yes | 128.21 | $0.780 | $111.54 | +$11.54 |
 Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31? | No | 118.18 | $0.880 | $109.38 | +$5.38 |
 Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? | No | 131 | $0.127 | $99.89 | +$83.27 |
| Will Asuna leave 100 Thieves in 2026? | No | 120 | $0.650 | $99 | +$21 |
 Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 3.5% to 4.5%? | No | 120.74 | $0.540 | $95.39 | +$30.19 |
 Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | No | 127.78 | $0.626 | $88.81 | +$8.81 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | No | 147.22 | $0.677 | $88.33 | -$11.37 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | No | 100 | $0.410 | $84.1 | +$43.1 |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat? | Yes | 120 | $0.700 | $82.2 | -$1.8 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%? | No | 105.41 | $0.740 | $81.16 | +$3.16 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 1 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
