Analytics
Yes is at 22.5%, down 11 points from 33.5% when the market opened on 7 Aug 2026.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57% on 27 Aug 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 15 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 39.5%; a month before, 49.5%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 15.5% on 28 Aug 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “Which Players Will Leave Their Team in 2026?”.
$326.02 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $76.19, with a 33.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is chessplayer with 60 shares; the largest No position is estoicc with 150.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 7 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 33.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 22.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| estoicc | No | 150 |
| chessplayer | Yes | 60 |
| Heycer | Yes | 41.02 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player departs the listed team's active roster on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count. The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution. A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count. If the listed team disbands, or the listed player and the team part ways because the roster is dissolved, this will count as the player leaving and resolve "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-players-will-leave-their-team-in-2026-20260805220300453
4 more markets, none above 18.0%.
| gloriousking1020 |
| Yes |
| 40 |
| huguebas | No | 20 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 19.9 |
| title1 | Yes | 10 |
| Exemplary-Decisionmaking | No | 0.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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